Bitcoin Rebounds, Bulls Predict More Upside Potential

Crypto markets subsequently experienced a modest increase US Federal Reserve have made another move on the interest rate front, and traders are looking forward to a clearer follow-up. According to reports, the Fed made three consecutive interest rate cuts from September to December, totaling 0.75%. The move was widely expected. Still, market reactions were mixed and somewhat choppy.

Fed moves and market takeaways

According to CoinEx lead analyst Jeff Ko, much of the Fed’s action was already priced in, and the updated dot chart was a bit more aggressive than some had hoped.

Ko pointed to $40 billion in short-term government bond purchases as a technical move to increase liquidity and lower short-term interest rates, rather than as a broad stimulus program.

The markets viewed the measures as slightly positive. US stocks rose, and that helped Bitcoin find some support again after an early dip.

Santiment and the short-term reaction

Based on reports from the onchain analytics company SantimentEach downgrade has led to a classic “buy the rumor, sell the news” move where initial optimism is followed by short selling.

Cuts are seen as bullish for crypto in the long term, but in practice they have still led to short pullbacks. Santiment adds that a small wave of FUD or retail sales is often a signal that the mild post-austerity downturn is over and that a rebound could follow once things calm down.

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Technical levels that traders look at

Bitcoin was volatile in the aftermath. It fell below $90,000 and then rose to $93,500 Coin base before reaching nearly $92,300 at the time of reporting. The main resistance is between $97,000 and $108,000.

BTCUSD is now trading at $92,480. Graphic: Trading view

On the daily chart, BTC remains within a small ascending channel that is in a larger downtrend, and technical traders are noticing a MACD histogram approaching a positive crossover – a sign that some see as possible renewed momentum.

ETF activity was tepid, with only $219 million in net inflows since late November, keeping some investors cautious.

Dollar Weakness and Stock Signals

A weaker dollar was part of the backdrop; the DXY index fell to 98.36 and is showing bearish momentum on its own MACD.

Nasdaq’s move above its 50-, 100-, and 200-day simple moving averages helped lift risky assets briefly, and that has supported Bitcoin’s recovery efforts.

Still, the correlation with stocks remains uneven: losses in stocks tend to hit Bitcoin harder than gains help, creating an asymmetric risk profile for traders.

Featured image from Impossible Images, chart from TradingView



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