Bitcoin’ Volatility Will Occur Soon: Should You Believe This Key Indicator?

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  • BTC’s key on-chain metric indicated price volatility.
  • However, technical indicators on a price chart refuted this claim.

Bitcoins [BTC] Yields issued for investors who have held their coins for one to 12 months have witnessed a spike, indicating the possibility of a price swing, according to CryptoQuant’s facts.

Bitcoin spent output age groupsBitcoin spent output age groups

Source: CryptoQuant

BTC expenditures for different age categories of investors provide insight into the spending behavior of coin holders.

For example, it can track whether coins are being moved from short-term holders, indicating an increase in profit-taking activity.

Volatility in the BTC market?

When the amount of output issued for BTC holders increases in the short term, it often signals a rally in market volatility.

In a recent report, pseudonymous CryptoQuant analyst Mignolet said:

“The movement of this entity can be seen as data for confirming volatility rather than price increases or decreases. It looks like there will be volatility soon.”

However, a review of the coin’s key volatility indicators on a daily chart suggested minimal risk of significant short-term price movements.

Measurements of BTC’s Average True Range (ATR) show that it has fallen steadily since April 19.

This indicator measures the average range of price movements over a given period of time. When it falls, it indicates a decrease in market volatility.

BTC’s Chaikin volatility confirms the decrease in market volatility and was noted to be in a downtrend at the time of writing. Since April 19, the value of the indicator has fallen by 162%.

This indicator measures the price volatility of an asset by comparing the current range between the high and low prices with a previous range over a specific period of time.

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When the price falls in this way, it indicates that an asset’s market is becoming less volatile as the range between high and low prices narrows.

Furthermore, BTC’s flat Bollinger Bandwidth (BBW) lent credibility to the coin market’s low volatility.


Read Bitcoin [BTC] price forecast 2024 -2025


When an asset witnesses a flat BBW, it suggests that its price is experiencing low volatility and its movements are relatively stable and confined to a narrow range.

BTC 1D TradingViewBTC 1D TradingView

Source: BTC/USDT on TradingView

At the time of writing, the leading crypto asset was exchanging hands at $64,241. According to CoinMarketCaps According to data, its value has increased by 5% in the last seven days.

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