Bitcoin’s ETF resolution is injecting volatility into the market

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  • The broader market seemed uncertain about Bitcoin’s next direction.
  • The CVD turned positive, but then went negative a little later.

The court ruled in favor of Grayscale Bitcoin [BTC] ETF, causes market volatility will increase. For a while, Bitcoin, along with other cryptocurrencies in the market, went through a prolonged period of consolidation as prices fell.


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Quickly back and forth

While grayscale favorable verdict As BTC floated to $28,000, the delay in the decision caused prices to pull back and wipe out any gains. In addition, Kaiko Research’s report suggested that the initial ruling had an impact on Cumulative Volume Delta (CVD).

Bitcoin cumulative volume delta

Source: Kaiko Research

The CVD compares the buying and selling volume while simultaneously identifying an asset’s micro and macro price action chart. The cryptocurrency market data provider also noted that the CVD was positive on exchanges including Binance and Coinbase.

The report noted:

“The initial court ruling sparked a wave of buying, which we can see when we look at the cumulative volume delta (CVD) on major pairs, which turned positive, with Binance showing +$50 million on its BTC-USDT pair . The increase on Coinbase was more gradual, reaching a peak of +$35 million about 12 hours after the ruling.”

But when the SEC made it decision publicThe BTC/USDT and BTC/TUSD pairs on Binance fell to -$100 million. The same thing happened on the Coinbase exchange as well.

Despite Grayscale’s partial victory, Bitcoin’s the volume could not increase considerable. Referring to the period section, Kaiko said:

“In a sign of how subdued trading volume has been in recent months, the Grayscale ruling was barely able to boost BTC volumes. August 29 stood at just 504 days out of 973 (since the start of 2021) in terms of BTC volume.”

Silence in the market

In terms of activity in the derivatives market, Kaiko noted that Open Interest fell between August 29 and August 31. Open Interest is the value of the futures contracts that are open at the end of a trading day.

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When the Open Interest increases, it means that the liquidity in the contract increases. But if it decreases, it implies the conclusion of many contracts in the market. Therefore, the decline indicates that liquidity has diminished and that there was no strength behind BTC’s trajectory.

Bitcoin futures open interest

Source: Kaiko Research

At the time of writing, Bitcoin’s funding rate was very mild, at 0.002%. Previously, there has been an ebb and flow direction of the funding rate, indicating skepticism surrounding BTC’s movement.

The state of the funding rate at the time of writing left doubts about an upward Bitcoin move.


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For the weighted sentiment, Santiment showed that the measure had risen to positive territory. Weighted sentiment shows the unique social volume around an asset in relation to the perception the community has.

Bitcoin funding rate and weighted sentiment

Source: Kaiko Research

Therefore, the weighted sentiment at 0.477 at the time of writing meant that the broader market believed in Bitcoin’s ability to surge higher in the coming weeks.

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