- The analyst identifies a Bull-Flag pattern that indicates Bitcoin could soon reverse its June downtrend.
- The MVRV ratio and the exchange stablecoin ratio provide important insights into Bitcoin market conditions.
Bitcoin [BTC]the flagship cryptocurrency, has shown signs of a possible reversal from the recent downward trend, sparking debate among market analysts and investors alike.
After a challenging month that saw prices fall to $58,000 earlier this week, Bitcoin has staged a modest recovery and was trading around $61,516 at the time of writing.
This recovery includes a brief rise above the $62,000 mark earlier today, which some experts see as a signal that a bigger breakout could be on the horizon.
Noted market analyst Rekt Capital has gone so far as to suggest that the ongoing downtrend that characterized June could soon come to an end, spurred by emerging patterns in Bitcoin’s daily trading data.
Bitcoin bullflag rise
Rekt Capital points to the formation of what appears to be an early stage bull flag pattern on the daily price charts. If this pattern is fully realized, it could indicate that Bitcoin is gearing up to challenge and possibly break the downtrend it has been experiencing.
Such technical formations are closely watched by traders for signs that the current price action could translate into a big move higher.
Rekt Capital commented:
“Let’s see if this current price action on the Daily continues to shape this little Bull Flag early on,”
Furthermore, Rekt Capital recently revealed that the recent retracement in Bitcoin’s price is approaching the usual 22% correction seen across market cycles. This adjustment is initially receiving positive reactions that correlate with support levels that were previously at record highs.
Rekt Capital emphasizes the importance of Bitcoin price closing above the lower limit of the pattern on the weekly charts to maintain this critical support level, even though short dips below it are considered acceptable.
Source: RektCapital
Are there signs of a bullish breakout?
Despite Rekt Capital’s optimistic technical analysis, it is crucial to consider Bitcoin’s core market indicators to understand whether the crypto is indeed primed for a bullish breakout. One of these indicators is the MVRV ratiowhich currently stands at 2.01.
Source: CryptoQuant
The market value to realized value (MVRV) ratio compares Bitcoin’s market capitalization to its realized capitalization, providing insight into whether the asset is undervalued or overvalued compared to historical price norms.
A ratio above 2.0 typically suggests that Bitcoin is in a zone where selling pressure could begin, as holders could start to see the gains as attractive enough to liquidate some of their holdings.
Moreover, the exchange stablecoin ratio has seen an increase peak from 2.33%, now at 8.22. This metric, which compares the total supply of stablecoins on exchanges to Bitcoin reserves, can indicate whether there is potential purchasing power to push prices higher.
Read Bitcoin’s [BTC] Price forecast 2024-25
A higher ratio suggests that traders may be ready to convert stablecoins into Bitcoin, potentially driving up prices.
Source: CryptoQuant
However, the crypto market remains divided, with other prominent analysts such as Willy Woo warning of caution. noticing that Bitcoin bears are still in control, as recently reported by AMBCrypto.