- The Puell Multiple was approaching a historical accumulation point
- Bitcoin’s Delta Cap Soared, Indicating Price May Not Reach $100,000 This Cycle
In what is a significant development, for the first time since December 2022, is that of Bitcoin [BTC] Puell Multiple has fallen to 0.56 in the charts.
Puell Multiple measures the ratio between daily coin issuance and the annual average. This metric allows market participants to identify potential bottoms and tops. When the value is greater than 6, it means that miners earn more than the average of the previous year. Price-wise, this could be a sign that Bitcoin is close to its top.
Bitcoin to $87,593?
On the other hand, if the Puell Multiple is less than 0.5, it means miners are earning less than they should. In other words, it implies that BTC may be close to the bottom of the price charts.
Therefore this the position of the metric indicated at the time of writing that the coin could soon reach a buy zone. Therefore, it is worth looking at what happened in 2022.
Source: CryptoQuant
According to the aforementioned chart, Bitcoin’s price was around $16,832 when the Puell Multiple last appeared at the time of writing. However, within just four months, the price quickly recorded an increase of +39%. What this means is that there is likely a very strong correlation between this metric and the price of the cryptocurrency.
At the time of writing, Bitcoin was valued at $63,017. While history doesn’t exactly repeat itself, the trends are generally similar. Ergo, if we go by the previous cycles, we can predict that Bitcoin’s price could hover around $87,593 before the end of October.
Top isn’t there, but it could be close
While this could be possible, the coin could be corrected along the way. AMBCrypto also looked at the Delta Cap to assess how far Bitcoin is from the top of this cycle.
Delta Cap is the difference between the Realized Cap and the life-to-date moving average of the Market Cap. This metric allows participants to discover the major bottoms and tops of the market.
In 2021, when the Delta Cap reached $340.93 billion, the price of Bitcoin started to decline. At the time of writing, the value of the Delta hood amounted to $355.86 billion.
Since this figure is higher than that of the previous bull market, you might assume that BTC’s top is close this cycle. However, that may not be the case as Bitcoin’s latest all-time high has already surpassed its 2021 all-time high.
Source: Glassnode
So the Delta Cap is expected to be higher. While Bitcoin’s price could rise to $85,000 or $90,000, $100,000 predictions could be challenging.
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If history is anything to go by, even though BTC could get close to six figures, it could face rejection as it approaches the milestone.
Failure to break through the potential resistance could lead to a sell-off, and the crypto could end up trading lower than the highly optimistic forecast.